Macro Lens

← Today’s brief

Consumer strength

XLY/XLP · One of the nine sensors MacroLens watches daily.

What it measures: What people want to buy vs. what they have to buy

How to read it: Rising = discretionary spending winning (confidence); falling = staples winning (caution)

Why investors watch it: Households are ~2/3 of the economy — this is the market's live vote on whether consumers feel flush or defensive

Currently neutralheld 1 trading day. Neither side winning — the consumer vote is split Last change: Jul 9, 2026.

What would flip this reading: This reading shifts toward a new trend as it crosses its 21-day average (1.38); today it sits 1.7% away.

Flip history

DateChangeReading
Jul 9, 2026bearish neutral1.4
Jul 8, 2026neutral bearish1.37
Jul 6, 2026bearish neutral1.4
Jul 2, 2026neutral bearish1.38
Jun 30, 2026bearish neutral1.41
Jun 19, 2026neutral bearish1.38
Jun 18, 2026bearish neutral1.41
Jun 10, 2026neutral bearish1.33
Jun 5, 2026bullish neutral1.38
May 22, 2026neutral bullish1.41
May 16, 2026bullish neutral1.38

History of state changes only — not a prediction, and not a claim about what followed. Data via Yahoo Finance.